Tools Overview

Polymarket Payout Simulator

Exact ROI, dynamic V2 taker fees, break-even & expected value for a YES/NO share buy.

Trade setup

Current YES price: $0.60

Dynamic fees peak at 50% probability and taper toward extreme odds.

Trade summary

Action
Buy YES
Price
$0.60
Shares
166.67

Winning scenario (resolves YES)

Gross payout ($1/share)
Dynamic taker fee
Net payout
Net profit
ROI
Break-even price
Expected value

Losing scenario (resolves NO)

Shares resolve to $0.00 — you lose your stake.

Quantitative Calculations

Finance

Daily Use

Discounted Cash Flow

Look up a ticker, set your assumptions, read fair value per share against the market price.

Value per shareintrinsic estimate
vs market priceupside to fair value
Terminal shareof total value — how much rests on the final guess

Stock lookup

fills free cash flow, shares, net debt and market price
Stock tickerexample AAPL

Public estimates from StockAnalysis, refreshed daily at midnight New York — check the filing before buying.

Discount rate is above forever growth — model is valid

Simple assumptions

you set the assumptions · company figures come from the ticker
Growth next 5 years%
Growth after that% · fades to the terminal rate
Growth forever% · long-run economic growth
Return you require% a year · the discount rate
Years to forecast1–20
Past growth revenue — free cash flow — Analyst Blend Fade Look up a ticker · history is what it did, analyst is what they expect · either use sets years 1–5
Suggested rate risk-free % + beta × premium % = Look up a ticker for its beta · CAPM, the sell-side convention

Company figures

filled from the ticker · read-only
Cash the business madefree cash flow, $M
Sharesoutstanding, M
Net debt$M · minus = net cash
Stock price now$ / share

Cash flow, before and after discounting

the gap is what waiting costs you
Cash flow in that year Worth today (discounted)

Where the value comes from

Forecast years — Terminal value —

Value bridge

PV of forecast years
PV of terminal value
Enterprise value
− net debt
Equity value
÷ shares
Value per share

Sensitivity · value per share

discount rate × terminal growth

Corners far apart? The answer is a range, not a figure.

Year by year

YearGrowthFree cash flowDiscount factorWorth today

How this works & what every input means

Compound Interest Simulation

Compare up to 5 compound-growth positions on one graph using starting capital, recurring deposits, APY, years, and compounding frequency.

Positions

Add up to 5 lines to compare different deposits, APY, or time horizons.

Growth Graph

5 positions max

Comparison Summary

Options Simulation

Payoff graph for long/short calls and puts — profit on Y-axis, underlying price on X-axis.

Option Setup

Long = pay premium. Short = receive premium. Profit is calculated at expiration, before fees/taxes.

Profit / Loss Graph

Y: Profit · X: Price

Key Numbers

What it means

Prediction Market Simulation

Option-style payoff graph for YES/NO prediction shares — profit on Y-axis, market probability on X-axis.

Market Position

Long YES is like a call on probability rising. Long NO is like betting probability falls. Short positions invert the payoff.

Profit / Loss Graph

Y: Profit · X: YES probability

Key Numbers

What it means

Covered Call · Prediction Market

Hold an asset, sell YES shares on an above-target prediction market, then compare the payoff against simply holding the asset.

Position Setup

This is covered-call-like, not a real option. The prediction market loss is fixed if YES wins; it does not keep growing above the target like a call option.

Strategy vs Hold

Y: Portfolio value · X: final asset price

Key Numbers

What it means

Range LP + Lending — Capital Efficiency

Provide the same pool depth from a tight band and put the idle wing bins to work in lending. Drag the band edges and the price to see which token every bin holds.

In active poolproviding depth
Freed to lendingof your capital
Rebalance bufferprice move before exit

Range map

drag the ▮ price — band is locked to parts 2–3
USDC bin (below price) SUI bin (above price) Active LP band — the rest is in lending
In range
Current price
Active band · parts 2–3
locked to the middle half of the outer range
Outer low
Outer high
Total capital

The ladder

The outer range splits into 4 quarters. The LP sits in the middle half (parts 2–3); if price leaves it, shift the whole position to the lower or upper half.

Lower · parts 1–2
Start · parts 2–3
Upper · parts 3–4

Where the capital sits

ZoneSUIUSDCUSD

How the strategy works

Concentrate AMM

Concentrated liquidity position planner — sizing, impermanent loss & range scenarios

Position Setup

Price Range Bounds

Required Assets

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Range
Range map — drag the price
USDC bin (below price) Asset bin (above price) Active range — outside it the position stops earning

Analysis

Out of Range Scenarios

Price drops below $00%
Token Balance0 Token
USD Value$0 0%
Price rises above $00%
Token Balance0 USDC
USD Value$0 0%

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Asset
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)
Pool

Constant AMM

Constant-product and weighted AMM planner — use the Pool dropdown to switch 50:50, 80:20, 20:80, 60:40, and 40:60 pools

Position Setup

Full range — this pool stays active at every price (0 → ∞), so there is no out-of-range.

Required Assets 50 : 50 by value

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Price
Composition map — drag the price
USDC share of value Asset share of value Hold instead (no pool)

Analysis

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Token
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)
Pool

80:20 Pool

Weighted AMM (Balancer style) — full-range 80:20 pool, value & impermanent loss across price moves

Position Setup

Full range — this pool stays active at every price (0 → ∞), so there is no out-of-range.

Required Assets 80 : 20 by value

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Price
Composition map — drag the price
USDC share of value Asset share of value Hold instead (no pool)

Analysis

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Token
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)
Pool

20:80 Pool

Weighted AMM (Balancer style) — full-range 20:80 pool, value & impermanent loss across price moves

Position Setup

Full range — this pool stays active at every price (0 → ∞), so there is no out-of-range.

Required Assets 20 : 80 by value

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Price
Composition map — drag the price
USDC share of value Asset share of value Hold instead (no pool)

Analysis

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Token
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)
Pool

60:40 Pool

Weighted AMM (Balancer style) — full-range 60:40 pool, value & impermanent loss across price moves

Position Setup

Full range — this pool stays active at every price (0 → ∞), so there is no out-of-range.

Required Assets 60 : 40 by value

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Price
Composition map — drag the price
USDC share of value Asset share of value Hold instead (no pool)

Analysis

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Token
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)
Pool

40:60 Pool

Weighted AMM (Balancer style) — full-range 40:60 pool, value & impermanent loss across price moves

Position Setup

Full range — this pool stays active at every price (0 → ∞), so there is no out-of-range.

Required Assets 40 : 60 by value

Token0% 0$0
USDC0% 0$0
Total Value$0
Position Value Across Price
Composition map — drag the price
USDC share of value Asset share of value Hold instead (no pool)

Analysis

Price Simulation

Simulate Future Asset Price$0
Simulated Token
0
Simulated USDC
0
Position Value
$0
HODL Value
$0
Impermanent Loss
$0
Strategy Comparison
Simulated Pool
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% Token
$0
+0 (0%)
Hold 100% USDC
$0
$0 (0%)

Unit Comparison

Compare price per unit across options — normalizes different sizes & units to find the best value

Options

Measure

Health Factor Simulator

Visualize DeFi lending liquidation risk across multiple collateral & debt assets

Health Factor
0.00
Safe
Equity$0
=
Deposits$0
-
Borrows$0
Weighted borrows$0
Borrow limit$0
Liq. threshold$0
Risk Bar Current 0%LTVLiq
You

Collateral Assets

Total Collateral Value$0

Borrowed Assets

Total Borrow Value$0

Individual Asset Liquidation Analysis

Collateral Drop Risk
Debt Rise Risk